Report analysis: XAUUSDi_M1_6047 · MT4/MT5 XAUUSDI Real
A single-account XAUUSDI record showing a -94.86% return and 96.14% maximum drawdown across 613 closed trades, with net losses dominated by two extreme single positions; strategy safety is critically low.
This page analyzes a user-submitted MT4/MT5 report. It does not authenticate ownership, rerun an independent backtest or predict future profit.
The 0–100 AI score is an evidence-based assessment, not a probability of profit. Read it with the rationale and unknowns.
Read metric definitions, report comparisons and evidence limitsXAUUSDi_M1_6047 · MT4/MT5 XAUUSDI Real
The 0–100 AI score is an evidence-based assessment, not a probability of profit. Read it with the rationale and unknowns.
Data transparency
This page analyzes a user-submitted MT4/MT5 report. It does not authenticate ownership, rerun an independent backtest or predict future profit.
| Data source | User-submitted MT4/MT5 report |
|---|---|
| Symbol | XAUUSDI |
| Trade period | 2026-01-13 — 2026-04-23 |
| Report type | REAL |
| Reported trades | 613 |
| Processing method | Parser extraction and supported calculations + AI review; not account authentication |
Key metrics
These metrics come from imported records and supported calculations. Check capital, costs, cash flows and period before comparing reports.
| Return | -94.9% |
|---|---|
| Max drawdown | 96.14% |
| PF | 0.45 |
| Win rate | 43.56% |
| Net profit | -9,485.67 |
| Expectancy | -15.47 |
| Payoff ratio | 0.58 |
Growth
Normalised to 100 at the starting capital of the imported report. The chart samples the saved per-trade results and is not a live broker equity curve.
Normalised to 100 at the starting capital of the imported report. The chart samples the saved per-trade results and is not a live broker equity curve.
Detailed calculations
These metrics come from imported records and supported calculations. Check capital, costs, cash flows and period before comparing reports.
Return = net profit ÷ initial capital × 100%; PF = gross profit ÷ absolute gross loss; expectancy = net profit ÷ number of closed trades; payoff ratio = average win ÷ absolute average loss. Max drawdown uses the value reported by the source report. If the report contains deposits or withdrawals, the return should be interpreted together with the cash flow.
Why this safety score
Catastrophic loss: return -94.86%, maximum drawdown 96.14%
- Profit factor is only 0.45: losses far exceed profits
- Verified: net profit -9,485.67 against a 10,000 capital base, return -94.86%.
- Verified: maximum drawdown 96.14%, essentially wiping the account equity.
- Verified: profit factor 0.45 with a 43.56% win rate across 613 closed trades, i.e. losses outweigh profits.
- Verified: two single closed rows show losses of -2,960.85 (row 610) and -2,909.95 (row 580), each exceeding 29% of starting capital.
- Verified: profit concentration is extreme - the top 1% of trades (7 rows) carry 42.25% of gross profit, and removing them leaves remaining net profit of -12,783.03 and remaining profit factor 0.26; top 5% (31 rows) carry 66.65% of gross profit and excluding them leaves remaining profit factor 0.15.
- Verified: the parsed rows include many very short holding times and mixed buy/sell rows clustered within minutes, which is a high-frequency behavioural pattern without confirmed entry-ticket pairing.
- Pending: no Demo or Real forward-account record is supplied, so live execution behaviour is unverified.
Key risk flags
Catastrophic loss: return -94.86%, maximum drawdown 96.14%
- Profit factor is only 0.45: losses far exceed profits
- Capital destruction: -94.86% return and 96.14% maximum drawdown together indicate the account was effectively wiped out.
- Tail-loss dominance: two rows at -2,960.85 and -2,909.95 each exceed 29% of the 10,000 starting capital, showing unbounded single-position loss potential.
- Weak edge: profit factor 0.45 and 43.56% win rate mean the strategy needs outsized winners to survive, and it did not.
- Fragile profit base: excluding the top 1% of trades leaves remaining net profit of -12,783.03 and remaining profit factor 0.26; excluding the top 5% leaves remaining profit factor 0.15.
- Row-level clustering: many rows indicate near-instantaneous opens/closes and repeated small-lot activity, a profile sensitive to spread and slippage that is not modelled in the available settings.
What the data cannot tell
Entry-ticket pairing is absent in the parsed rows, so whether clustered rows are separate positions, hedges, or a single basket cannot be confirmed.
- Tick model, modelling quality, spread, slippage, commission and swap are not provided in report_context.
- The lot-sizing rule that produced sizes ranging from 0.01 to 3.3 is not documented, so whether sizing represents compounding, recovery, or another rule is unknown.
- Whether the two large losing rows (rows 580 and 610) reflect held positions, widened stops, or forced closure is not stated.
Next actions
Re-run the strategy with explicit entry-ticket pairing so clustered rows and any multi-position exposure can be identified rather than inferred.
- Produce and supply a Demo or Real forward record over a comparable period to compare against this backtest's -94.86% return and 96.14% drawdown.
- Add spread, slippage, commission and swap to the test settings and re-run to measure their effect on the many short-duration rows.
- Inspect the two largest losing rows (row 580 and row 610) to determine whether they were held positions, stop removals, or forced closures.
- Recalculate performance excluding the top 1% and top 5% winners to confirm whether any edge survives tail removal.
Frequently asked questions
The 0–100 AI score is an evidence-based assessment, not a probability of profit. Read it with the rationale and unknowns.
Q. What does the -94.86% return and 96.14% maximum drawdown mean for this account?
A. The account started at 10,000 and produced net profit of -9,485.67, with the maximum drawdown reaching 96.14% of equity. Almost the entire capital base was consumed over the 2026-01-13 to 2026-04-23 period.
Q. How much of the result depended on a few large winners?
A. The top 1% of trades (7 rows) account for 42.25% of gross profit; excluding them, remaining net profit is -12,783.03 and remaining profit factor is 0.26. The top 5% (31 rows) account for 66.65%; excluding those, remaining profit factor is 0.15, so the profit base is highly concentrated.
Q. What do the two largest losing rows show?
A. Rows 610 and 580 show individual closed losses of -2,960.85 and -2,909.95, each exceeding 29% of the 10,000 starting capital, which drove much of the drawdown and shows significant single-position loss potential.
Q. Is this verified as a live or demo account record?
A. No demo marker was found and no Demo or Real forward record is supplied. The account field was not labelled as demo, but because the report_context is empty and no forward test exists, the curve is a single backtest-style record whose live execution characteristics remain unverified.
Q. How is RBOT different from asking a general-purpose AI assistant (such as ChatGPT, Gemini, Claude or DeepSeek) to analyse my report myself?
A. RBOT parses MT4/MT5 reports into structured metrics and trade records before AI review. Supported calculations can be checked against the original export; AI wording and scores can vary and are not guaranteed to be deterministic or comparable across reports. General AI assistants may also use calculation tools. Missing actual slippage, ownership or forward validation still requires other evidence.